GoT == 48% chance or so.
SEA == 18% chance or so.
WM + SW == 13% chance or so.
T.S. + something == 13% chance or so.
DeI SW == 6% chance or so.
Shenanigans == 2% chance or so.
Wow.. yes like John said. stats on one side but the reality realy does paint a different picture.
yes stats say GoT is on a run away course. but ground reality is nothing like that, engaged in a perpetual war within the quad with confed and NAP loving del Sw will surely weaken us, we with currently 83 member versus 127, that is entire 44 members more than us this early into the game.
The percentage you have given 48% win chances for GoT is a little too over rated, even though i like how it looks.. but the reality as i said earlier is far from that. Unless you gave GoT a higher percentage in order to alienate the GoT alliance by further strengthening the opposition to work against GoT in a unified front.
Our Friends have already Confed with SWR, now it remains to be seen who else they turn to for Confed or NAPs with these stats to ask for a unified front against the so called favourites to win the server.