RVS look solid to me, so I'm not sure that they are going to rush into a meta. Your analysis leaves out QoQ ... another alliance that looks good. So I'm a bit more optimistic than you are of a good server. I see each of the four quads having a strong alliance. So plenty of opportunities for diplomacy, back-stabbing, artifact stealing and capital smashing. With the likes of Sparta/AOW, EFH and BBT providing some light relief along the way.
yes looking at it like that does give us some hope. Although QoQ are the dominant force in the quad, I dont think our leaders have the relevant experience and knowledge (from what I have seen from the inside) to properly challenge end game themselves. Fair dues to them for making an effort though.